The EU referendum result could lead to “a deterioration of the UK’s economic performance, including its large financial services sector,”said S&P. It described the choice to leave the EU as a “seminal event” that would weaken the “predictability, stability, and effectiveness” of UK policymaking.
Standard and Poor’s had been the only major agency to maintain an AAA rating for the UK, which has lost it for the first time since 1978. Britain is behind countries like Germany, Switzerland and Australia who still hold the triple-A elite grade from S&P.
Fitch lowered its rating from AA+ to AA, forecasting an “abrupt slowdown” in growth in the short-term. It said less favorable terms for exports to the EU, lower immigration and a reduction in foreign direct investment would impact medium-term growth, along with an adjustment in the value of sterling and changes in the business environment.
The downgrades followed Chancellor Osborne’s attempts to reassure investors and calm the markets, saying the UK economy would need to “adjust” but is strong enough to cope.
Earlier, the Moody’s agency cut UK’s credit outlook to negative, saying the referendum result would herald “a prolonged period of uncertainty.” The negative effect from lower economic growth will outweigh the fiscal savings from the UK no longer having to contribute to the EU budget, according to Moody’s. It said the UK has one of the largest budget deficits among advanced economies.
Gordon Duff posted articles on VT from 2008 to 2022. He is a Marine combat veteran of the Vietnam War. A disabled veteran, he worked on veterans and POW issues for decades.
Gordon is an accredited diplomat and is generally accepted as one of the top global intelligence specialists. He manages the world’s largest private intelligence organization and regularly consults with governments challenged by security issues.
Duff has traveled extensively, is published around the world, and is a regular guest on TV and radio in more than “several” countries. He is also a trained chef, wine enthusiast, avid motorcyclist, and gunsmith specializing in historical weapons and restoration. Business experience and interests are in energy and defense technology.