Parliament, Prison, Emigration, and Revolt: The Main Scenarios of Petro Poroshenko’s Departure

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Today it is possible to speak almost with confidence about the quick departure of Petro Poroshenko from the president’s post. He hasn’t yet taken any steps to reduce the approval rating gap between him and Vladimir Zelensky.

There are less than two weeks until the second round of the election. It’s unlikely that Poroshenko will be able to seriously reverse the situation in his own favour before then. Even if he will suddenly dismiss odious proteges like Semochko and Demchina, and will also send Svinarchuk-Gladkovsky to prison. And as an appetiser – to sell Roshen.

Therefore at the moment the question isn’t any more whether or not Petro Poroshenko will step down as president, but how exactly he will do it.

Especially since there were different precedents in Ukraine. Some presidents, despite their obvious sins, remained inviolable. But the predecessor of Poroshenko – Viktor Yanukovych – fled the country.



What are the three main scenarios that can unfold after the current guarantor losses in the second round?

Scenario 1. Peacefully go into opposition or to prison

The most conservative option is Petro Poroshenko loses the president’s post, however he leaves peacefully and will stay in the country, hoping to bring in 6 months his own faction into parliament. And after this he turns into opposition, having received parliamentary immunity.

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