By Gordon Duff
We begin with the deal breaker of all time. COVID is supposed to be a bat virus, a natural bat virus, unmodified, supposedly from China, right?
Name one animal that can’t get COVID?
The folks in the White House mostly went to business school. They had statistics classes and they all know numbers. You can’t steal without being able to count or at least without being able to hire someone who counts, as in Trump’s case.
The numbers we are given are fake, not a little fake but great big fake.
They didn’t work and they don’t work. So, China tested and locked down and lost 4600 total. We didn’t and have lost, and we will show you how we get this, 167,500 dead now, in the ground or in a hospital with the plug not yet pulled. Long story here, long and nasty and lots of lies.
There are 1.4 million case out there and every single case will eventually resolve. Over 300,000 have and of those, we see 26% did so unfavorably, not 1% but 26%.
We believe that the resolved death figure from the first 3 months will cut in half and we will show you how we predict this through a model. This would be great news except that the White House has given out the figures .7%.
We think the numbers will cut to 13% of infected dying because we are going to simply run out of old people to kill.
Problem here, of course, is I am one of them.
The real figure is roughly 18.57142857142857 times higher than the one the White House and Fox News are peddling to the “no worse than the flu” gang.
Then, when we checked, real flu deaths last year weren’t 30,000 but closer to a number between 2,000 and 6,000 (with estimates on the politicized CDC website faked)
In my little town, 21 have died of COVID. Last year we didn’t have a flu death, not one.
We began with 2000 predicted deaths from COVID. Then it went to 3000 then to 30,000.
All the while they knew, it was 500,000 and that number is dependent on broad testing and a vaccine along with other treatments.
Each of these factors was supposed to massage the curve but, due to Trump’s foot dragging, none came online and still haven’t. Trump blocked testing in order to keep markets high and pushed up deaths 50 fold in doing so.
If we tested, we would be open now like the countries that did test. We didn’t test because testing would have pushed up infection rates and crashed stocks, temporarily. Instead, we chose not to test, which pushed up deaths, pushed them up to an incredible number which, today sits at 167,500 dead and certain to die of those already diagnosed so far.
This is the real number.
Remember the numbers, 5 and 8
Let’s start with real stats, not the lies you are getting out of both Trump and Fauci.
Remember the numbers, 5 and 8
These are the magic numbers
5 percent of those who have tested positive and have “resolved” have already died
8 percent of those who have tested positive, half of those hospitalized (16 percent) will die (or more)
Thus:
13 percent of all positive tested patients will die
Let’s check our numbers and see how our prediction works:
The US COVID stats are, in the next few hours anyway, the following:
1.4 million test positive
80,000 dead
225,000 recovered
305,000 “resolved” cases
74 percent of positive tested patients recover
26 percent of positive tested patients die
1,095,000 positive tested patients “unresolved”
X .16 for those who are hospitalized equals
175,000 mostly on ventilators X .5 equals
87,500 hospitalized but certain to die (50 to 70 percent of hospitalized patients die of COVID)
167,500 now dead or dying
This gives us 12%, one percentage point low, but this is, please remember, an estimate taken from the lowest range of hospital deaths.
Now let’s look at where we are going:
If we hold to the numbers:
8 percent of those who test positive die (half of those hospitalized, at the rate of 16 percent of positive tests, based on figures into the second week of may, less the existing 5% that have already died
Then we double this in 30 days and add another 167,000 who will be dead or certain to die, but not yet dead, call them what you will.
This gives us a rolling count as it were of 335,000 dead/dying while the daily numbers of infected grow or plateau but certainly lead to, minimally 500,000 deaths
If we are wrong?
A million dead?
Then, as there is no potential for vaccine or herd immunity whatsoever, we get to do the whole thing over again…
Until there was none…..
Gordon Duff posted articles on VT from 2008 to 2022. He is a Marine combat veteran of the Vietnam War. A disabled veteran, he worked on veterans and POW issues for decades.
Gordon is an accredited diplomat and is generally accepted as one of the top global intelligence specialists. He manages the world’s largest private intelligence organization and regularly consults with governments challenged by security issues.
Duff has traveled extensively, is published around the world, and is a regular guest on TV and radio in more than “several” countries. He is also a trained chef, wine enthusiast, avid motorcyclist, and gunsmith specializing in historical weapons and restoration. Business experience and interests are in energy and defense technology.
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A wild assertion and then figures with no sources. Nice try. Stats here are real and are proven out every day.
I might add, here in Ottawa, we are running 11 percent death rate of infected with average age of infected 35.
Here is where you and so many others with NO contact with the medical community are fucking up. We have two tiers of deaths, those dying upon entry to the hospital, the 80 plus brigade and those dying when extubated.
This group averages around 50 but is almost universally obese. As we go on,the move downward in age moves as a wave from urban to rural.
Consider we made some effort here and VT gets its information from the front lines, not through emails.
“Then, as there is no potential for vaccine or herd immunity whatsoever…” – GD
Two alternate high probabilities are the logical result of this:
– A vaccine does exist, but is only available to those whom a depopulation agenda does not apply, or
– The SARS-CoV-2 virus was developed and released by a religious doomsday cult who believes that they will go to Heaven (or equivalent) while the rest of humanity goes to Hell* (or equivalent).
*And I do not mean the small town in Michigan.
perhaps
“5 percent of those who have tested positive and have “resolved” have already died
8 percent of those who have tested positive, half of those hospitalized (16 percent) will die (or more)
Thus:
13 percent of all positive tested patients will die”
I’m not a math whiz, but isn’t it possible there is crossover in the two subsets, thereby reducing the 13% total calculation?
we hit 13 by cutting 26 in half based on a series of factors including a diminishing pool of potential infected and a limited acquired immunity not yet proven
its 13 percent….we do this kind of crap…projections
Many people in isolated areas relatively unaffected by the virus are simply assuming the whole thing is a hoax. You can’t really blame them; the main stream media has no more credibility with the sentient, Donald Trump, his supporting cast of political hacks and the WHO even less. Those who have public forums courtesy of an internet that was long ago locked down by a rat pack of spooks pushing various agendas, none of which have any use for the truth, have proved just how incompetent they are by jumping on the hoax bandwagon. As someone who has contributed to VT for seven years now I have to tell my readers; the virus is very real. I’m about three miles outside of Kennedy Airport living or more like marooned in a locked down summer resort community. I was a bit skeptical myself till I started getting out a week ago and talking to people I trust. The Black community has been ravaged by this virus, many have died, and I suspect as Mr. Duff is saying here more, a lot more than they are saying. My friend for over twenty years has actually turned off his Facebook account because he told me it’s too depressing, every family has lost people. Blacks are followed closely by Jews who have also been ravaged by COVID. Others, Europeans like myself, seem to be immune, with no one in their family even have gotten sick. That’s what I’m seeing in the epicenter…
“Blacks are followed closely by Jews who have also been ravaged by COVID…” – Jack Heart
Blacks = Sub-Saharan Africans (and their descendants) and not Aboriginal Australians and Polynesians?
Which of the many Jewish ethnics group? The Ashkenazi* one presumes?
*”Ash Can Nazis” for Uncle Gordie.
The ethnicity thing may be overstated, look at Mexico where they have had just over 700 deaths.
I don’t know you guys take it for what it’s worth, it’s obvious here. Blacks are quite aware of it but the Jews ain’t saying much, some say it’s because both originally ignored the social distancing rules but I’m leaning hard towards Dr. Judy Mikovits with that.
> The real figure is **roughly** 18.57142857142857
?
/trivial comment
!! .. oh wait .. my lack of a sense of humour has left me looking foolish yet again!
That’s OK. The statistics on this, blending the resolved case numbers in with the unresolved ones is something never discussed in the Whitehouse briefings, and I don’t remember one question about it from media, which is a mind bender when they have asked a lot of other tough questions. If one had been looking, then the “model” death ranges, even when being adjusted up, never made any real sense. That alone is bad enough, but not to have a lot of hard questions asked at that point, even by Congress who has a lot of money to spend on “advice”, has not done so. Why not? Their asses are on the line in November, also, except for the two thirds of the Senate not rolling over. The anomally I am hung up on is that if you go to worldometers for the current stats, many countries have a low percentage of open cases hospitalized is serious condition, which is the pool from which the deaths are being generated. The outlier there is the number found dead at home. But we are getting a better handle on the numbers despite all the smoke blown at us. Trump knows that Covid could sink his reelection, and there is nothing he would not sink to now, absolutely anything is on the table with him to survive.
I believe Uncle Gordie is practicing hyperbole, and is aware of significant digits and how to use them (I used to jump all over undergrad engineering students when I was a TA for neglecting this).
there’s an ‘ad infinitum’ issue with this figure as you may have noted
Striking resemblance, you gotta love the humor there. No offense to the real bat though, at least it enjoys a head full of hair and `no’ it’s not bleached.
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